Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.184265 0.220517 0.259490 0.304231 0.353903 0.407099 0.468115
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.127660 0.173978 0.227883 0.294140 0.372296 0.460526 0.566620
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.093799 0.145486 0.210370 0.295134 0.400353 0.524253 0.678738
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.066457 0.118771 0.189869 0.288477 0.416838 0.573789 0.775689
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.044729 0.094089 0.167262 0.275155 0.422237 0.608511 0.854995
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.033774 0.082478 0.160350 0.281049 0.451614 0.673421 0.973063
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.023075 0.067839 0.146074 0.274221 0.462347 0.713733 1.060474
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.018549 0.063157 0.146497 0.288447 0.502318 0.793311 1.200162
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013170 0.054543 0.138622 0.288672 0.521634 0.845135 1.304303
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009249 0.047416 0.131912 0.289614 0.541362 0.897469 1.409756
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.006945 0.043357 0.130148 0.298181 0.572406 0.965923 1.537898
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005250 0.040130 0.129379 0.308071 0.605493 1.037721 1.671620
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003837 0.036978 0.128428 0.317893 0.639469 1.112605 1.812545
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002198 0.031006 0.119906 0.313120 0.649897 1.153644 1.907460
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001362 0.027621 0.116650 0.317629 0.675180 1.216708 2.034028
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000637 0.022981 0.108983 0.312733 0.684486 1.256108 2.127765
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000181 0.017797 0.098057 0.299907 0.679455 1.273476 2.190092
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.016120 0.096896 0.306926 0.708337 1.342506 2.327195
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.012914 0.089674 0.300144 0.712673 1.373824 2.410132
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.012632 0.092474 0.315549 0.756621 1.466989 2.584013
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.010770 0.088801 0.315968 0.773623 1.518418 2.697517
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.009209 0.085612 0.317079 0.791721 1.571699 2.814243
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.008522 0.085853 0.326252 0.824775 1.649013 2.967203